RESEARCH & INTELLIGENCE

Evidence for the
decisions ahead.

A focused reading room connecting aviation fuel demand, SAF adoption and the physical supply chain. Sources reviewed 11 November 2026.

MARKET OUTLOOK · ESTIMATE

SAF remains a small share of the fuel mix.

IATA forecast 2026 SAF output of about 2.4 million tonnes, equivalent to 0.8% of aviation fuel use, in its 6 June 2026 release. These are forecasts and may be revised.

Planning implication: Treat supply availability as a location-specific question rather than assuming that a global production estimate guarantees local access.

Source: IATA · 6 June 2026 ↗
SUPPLY CHAIN · CORPORATE SOURCE

SAF adoption depends on more than production.

Shell’s aviation analysis discusses the role of blending infrastructure and delivery logistics. It also describes book and claim as a way to separate attributed benefits from a particular uplift location.

Planning implication: Define the physical product and the environmental claim separately in a procurement brief.

Source: Shell · SAF supply-chain analysis · undated; reviewed 11 November 2026 ↗
OPERATIONS · CORPORATE SOURCE

Fuel purchasing is part of a wider operating workflow.

World Fuel’s aviation offering connects supply with payment tools, trip services and airport operations. Its website describes digital access to fuel and account information.

Planning implication: Consider the administrative workflow alongside unit price.

Source: World Fuel · aviation solutions · reviewed 11 November 2026 ↗
AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTURE · HISTORICAL EXAMPLE

Airport supply is also an infrastructure relationship.

Air bp announced Jet A-1 supply and technical services at Avalon Airport in October 2024. This is a dated example, rather than confirmation of present fuel availability.

Planning implication: Ask what technical and operational support accompanies a supply arrangement.

Source: Air bp · Avalon Airport announcement · 10 October 2024 ↗
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